Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 200.027420 232.191603 269.100373 314.859805 370.444948 436.254983 520.778137
2025-08-31 155.367083 195.180699 245.576828 315.064493 410.006601 537.616311 726.365113
2025-09-07 131.674886 174.502780 232.497271 318.731029 447.188654 637.395991 952.288281
2025-09-14 110.660219 152.416384 211.810945 305.245596 453.951569 691.598919 1122.956361
2025-09-21 98.474862 140.297791 202.436398 305.286321 479.269526 778.089997 1371.384855
2025-09-28 89.535072 131.407486 196.068144 308.110000 508.562991 876.980471 1674.887303
2025-10-05 85.835641 129.854207 200.582432 329.151265 573.320909 1056.504421 2210.539631
2025-10-12 81.889153 127.266904 202.820429 346.283074 634.253703 1245.558970 2852.837005
2025-10-19 75.501352 119.817330 195.682513 344.797252 657.754343 1361.551226 3368.851102
2025-10-26 71.750253 116.376535 195.036892 355.429095 708.652561 1555.115678 4202.698457
2025-11-02 67.705393 111.944249 191.963403 360.582414 748.533487 1734.657556 5103.592325
2025-11-09 64.261881 108.206287 189.680235 366.908353 792.530670 1940.010583 6232.890473
2025-11-16 59.546367 102.127434 183.075977 364.993680 821.803328 2132.727397 7549.963292
2025-11-23 55.479517 96.910250 177.671346 365.253840 858.367643 2369.256178 9324.780873
2025-11-30 52.282085 92.989247 174.338285 369.644326 907.586336 2672.113886 11800.688791
2025-12-07 47.660857 85.794630 163.278848 353.507996 894.448566 2755.100446 13224.792636
2025-12-14 44.884083 82.013771 159.042744 353.556685 929.658484 3037.308585 16312.187155
2025-12-21 42.639624 79.087620 156.299864 356.933160 976.574608 3395.212052 20624.439893
2025-12-28 42.112959 79.658776 161.419747 382.131578 1103.587421 4184.820597 30455.602832
2026-01-04 41.238510 79.392655 164.575592 402.695955 1223.333318 5044.058924 44154.522464
2026-01-11 39.071787 76.112675 160.205718 400.910777 1261.192791 5517.539001 55414.102267
2026-01-18 37.894776 74.905845 160.700595 413.691462 1360.763585 6432.648316 78039.953366
2026-01-25 36.446658 72.954497 159.121279 419.891963 1436.957145 7289.252215 106081.667027